Monsoon to remain subdued across much of India, heavy rain to persist in Northeast and East

Published 13 July 2026 · local

The monsoon rains are set to weaken across the northwest, west-central and southern regions of the country over the next week, even as authorities warn

The monsoon rains are set to weaken across the northwest, west-central and southern regions of the country over the next week, even as authorities warn of extreme rainfall in the northeast and east that could trigger flash floods. Northwest India comprises the Western Himalayan region, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan, while central India includes Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh. The southern peninsula covers Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Lakshadweep. According to IMD, in the northwest region, Himachal Pradesh, Delhi, Haryana, Punjab, Chandigarh, Rajasthan, eastern Uttar Pradesh, and western Uttar Pradesh are likely to receive isolated to scattered showers during 13-17 July. Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall is likely over east Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand during 18-19 July.

IMD has forecast largely isolated to scattered rainfall across central India and the southern peninsula over the coming week, with monsoon activity expected to strengthen over Kerala, Lakshadweep and Coastal Karnataka towards the weekend. The uneven rainfall pattern comes at a critical juncture for India's monsoon-dependent agricultural economy, with the eastern and northeastern states bearing the brunt of flood risk even as large swathes of the country see rainfall activity taper off. In central India, Chhattisgarh, East Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha are likely to receive isolated to scattered rainfall through 19 July, while West Madhya Pradesh is expected to witness similar conditions between 15 and 19 July. Also Read | From food to electronics, climate resilience is reshaping Indian manufacturing Across the southern peninsula, isolated to scattered rainfall is expected over North and South Interior Karnataka, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal through 19 July.

Kerala and Mahe are likely to receive scattered showers until 17 July, while Coastal Karnataka is expected to witness rainfall through 16 July. Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Yanam are forecast to receive rain from 15 July, with Rayalaseema likely to see showers during 16-19 July. Meanwhile, the weather office said isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely to continue over the Northeast, West Bengal and Bihar over the next three to four days. Meghalaya and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim are expected to receive isolated extremely heavy rainfall on 13 July, raising the risk of flash floods and waterlogging in vulnerable areas. The forecast follows widespread heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours.