What are India’s problems with most Credit Ratings Agencies? | Explained
While speaking at a business conference in London last week, Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal questioned the methodologies employed by sovereign ratings agencies in assigning ratings
While speaking at a business conference in London last week, Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal questioned the methodologies employed by sovereign ratings agencies in assigning ratings to India, saying they have been “unfair to India”. On the other hand, he praised one ratings agency — CareEdge Ratings — for being “objective”. This is not the first time the Indian government has pointed out its problems with the global sovereign ratings agencies. The Hindu looks into what the issues are. What do the ratings agencies measure? India is rated by seven international sovereign credit rating agencies: Standard and Poor’s (S&P), Moody’s Investors Service, Morningstar DBRS, Fitch Ratings, Japanese Credit Rating Agency (JCRA) and Rating and Investment Information (R&I), and CareEdge Ratings. The three most commonly-accepted global ratings agencies are S&P, Fitch, and Moody’s. Explained | What is a ratings agency and why do they matter? The core role of these agencies is to measure the ability and willingness of an entity to repay its debt. These entities can be companies, municipal corporations, states, and, in the case of sovereign ratings, Central or Union governments. Ratings are assigned on an alphabet scale, with Fitch and S&P assigning AAA to their highest rating and Moody’s assigning Aaa to it. The next lower scales are AA+, AA, AA-, A+, A, and A-, before moving on to the ‘B’ ratings in the same format. The lowest rating is D, implying the entity is in default.
Moody’s ratings follow the same pattern, although its letters differ. These ratings are important because they determine the interest rate at which the rated entity can borrow at. If an entity is rated AAA, then that means there is no risk of a default and so that entity can borrow at the lowest interest rates. However, the lower the rating, the lower the perceived ability or willingness to repay debt, and so higher the interest rate to mitigate that risk. Now, ‘ability’ and ‘willingness’ to repay debt are two very different metrics. The ability to repay is a much more quantitative metric, since there are hard numbers that can prove whether a country can repay its debt or not. Willingness to repay is an entirely different matter. It is a more qualitative metric and relies more on opinion rather than hard numbers. How has India been rated so far? India’s ratings by most of the agencies has been at the lowest level of the investment grade ratings. That is, India has consistently been rated just one or two grades above ‘junk’ status, which is when institutions will stop lending money for fear of default. Until recently, these ratings were unchanged for more than a decade and, in some cases, nearly two decades. For example, S&P upgraded India’s long-term sovereign credit rating to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB-‘ in August 2025, the first upgrade by it in 18 years.
