West Asia crisis threatens 12 million jobs in India, Green shift can offer hope, finds study

Published 18 June 2026 · india

The crisis in West Asia due to months of US-Iran war can potentially put millions of livelihoods in India at risk while at the same

The crisis in West Asia due to months of US-Iran war can potentially put millions of livelihoods in India at risk while at the same creae opportunity to create millions of new opportunities in near future. In its newly launched peer-reviewed study, “Paving a Green Transition: A New Social Contract Amid West Asia Crisis,” IPE Global warns that nearly 10 - 12 million livelihoods are at risk across key sectors in India, while arguing that a decisive green transition could turn this moment of uncertainty into a catalyst for long-term economic resilience and green transition. The brief argues that India's challenge is not a shortage of policy ambition. India already possesses an extensive ecosystem of schemes, including PM-KUSUM, the Green Hydrogen Mission, Production Linked Incentives (PLI), the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS), PM Pranam, RDSS, and Agri Stack, but these continue to operate in silos. The report proposes a sectoral convergence across Agriculture, Energy, and Industry to unlock the full economic, employment, and climate potential of this existing ecosystem. “The West Asia crisis has exposed how closely energy security, food security, livelihoods, and climate resilience are tied together, and our analysis shows that addressing them in isolation is no longer an option," said Ashwajit Singh, Founder and Managing Director - IPE Global.

View full Image View full Image The report proposes a sectoral convergence across Agriculture, Energy, and Industry to unlock the full economic, employment, and climate potential of this existing ecosystem. IPE Global Limited is an international development organisation providing innovative solutions for anchoring development agenda to create a better world for all. “The fact that India can mobilise USD 42-53 billion funding cushion from within its own scheme architecture-without waiting for external finance-speaks to the maturity of our institutions and the strength of homegrown solutions. This is what self-reliant, sustainable development looks like in practice: an Indian organisation, drawing on Indian policy architecture, charting a pathway that the rest of the Global South can learn from,” Singh said. The study argues thatstates with the highest exposure to West Asia crisis job losses-Kerala, Bihar, UP- are not always the states with the highest green jobs absorption capacity, since green jobs cluster around renewable resource endowments (Rajasthan, Gujarat) and industrial corridors (Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra). It also, finds that current set-up creates a geographic mismatch problem: the workers most at risk and the jobs being created are not always in the same place, which has direct implications for skilling, migration policy, and where green investment should be prioritised (e.g., accelerating PM-KUSUM and natural farming specifically in UP and Bihar to absorb local job losses, rather than relying solely on national aggregate job creation).