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Why a war over Taiwan would hit Europe hard | The Dip Podcast

Published 12 June 2026 · europe

A conflict over Taiwan wouldn’t just be a regional crisis, it could wipe $2 trillion off Europe’s economy in a single year. That's worse than

A conflict over Taiwan wouldn’t just be a regional crisis, it could wipe $2 trillion off Europe’s economy in a single year. That's worse than the financial crisis in 2008 or the Covid-19 pandemic's fallout. CHAPTERS 00:00 Intro: China, Taiwan & Europe’s risk 00:00:47 The $2 trillion economic threat explained 00:01:26 Is conflict between China & Taiwan real?

00:03:24 Why Taiwan matters: trade & semiconductors 00:05:18 China vs Taiwan: Who matters more to Europe? 00:06:31 Taiwan’s strategy to reduce dependence on China 00:08:14 Is Europe prepared for a crisis? 00:09:18 Global economic fallout of a conflict 00:11:51 Which European countries are most exposed? 00:13:51 Taiwan-China trade: why it still exists 00:16:36 How businesses view China risk 00:19:08 China’s economic pressure & political influence 00:21:03 Is China preparing for war?

00:23:01 The “Silicon Shield” – myth or reality? 00:26:29 Can chips really protect Taiwan? 00:27:19 Is Europe falling behind strategically? 00:28:47 What Taiwan wants from Europe 00:30:58 How the crisis impacts Germany’s car industry 00:31:19 Supply Chains: China vs Taiwan in the auto sector 00:33:13 How Companies prepare for conflict 00:34:21 China vs Taiwan: Who matters more for car industry?

00:36:15 Are companies really diversifying supply chains? 00:38:38 Could Xi Jinping actually invade Taiwan? 00:42:09 Final Thoughts: Is Europe avoiding hard choices? For more news go to Follow DW on social media ► ►TikTok ► ► Für Videos in deutscher Sprache besuchen Sie Subscribe

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