Ford needs another Taurus, and the $30K Fathom EV pickup isnât it
Few automotive companies are as dependent on breakout hits as Ford. Itâs almost as though itâs baked into the companyâs DNA: From the Model T
Few automotive companies are as dependent on breakout hits as Ford. Itâs almost as though itâs baked into the companyâs DNA: From the Model T and the Taurus to the F-150 and the Explorer, Ford has lurched from one success to another. Recently, though, the automaker has been coming up empty handed. While its U.S. vehicle sales rose 6% year-over-year to 2.08 million in 2025, theyâre today less than half their peak of 4.48 million in 2000. Of the new vehicles that Ford has introduced in recent years, none have become a sensation. Ford CEO Jim Farley is betting its forthcoming EV pickup, Fathom, will change its fortunes, calling the introduction of the truck and its Universal EV platform a âModel T momentâ for the company. Ford needs a product that can compete with Chinese EVs, which have been taking the world by storm. Yet, for reasons that are both within and beyond Fordâs control, the Fathom is unlikely to be another Taurus or Explorer, two hits that drove Ford sales in the 1990s. Now, Fathom could be a minor success. Any way you spin it, the base model will be a good deal.
On Thursday, Ford said the Fathom would start at $29,945, including the destination fee. Thatâs significantly below the $50,000 average for new vehicles and the $56,000 average for EVs. Itâs also about $5,000 lower than the Keating Line â the average listing price of the largest price segment available at dealers. But consumers donât decide to buy a car based on price alone. Hereâs where Ford could run into some challenges. The Fathom will be a compact pickup truck, a form factor that the market largely ignored until Ford started selling the Maverick in 2021. The Fathom is entering an under-exploited niche, but it doesnât appear to be one with enormous potential either. Sales of the Maverick offer a clue: theyâve been brisk, but at 155,000 last year, the small truck is not a blockbuster, either. The Taurus sold more than twice as many at its peak in 1992. Now, the Fathom appears to have a few advantages over the Maverick. For one, passengers should enjoy a bit more interior space, according to Ford. The EV will also have a frunk, which could sway some buyers of traditional cars who have overlooked pickup trucks for lack of closed storage.
But the Fathom is still a pickup, and not everyone loves that look. The majority of the market today is dominated by SUVs, with just over 70% of prospective buyers looking for an SUV, compared with 33% for pickups, according to Cox Automotive. Even among pickup fans, the Fathom may struggle to draw buyers. For many, trucks are a vibe. They want them to look ready to tackle the Rubicon trail, even if they never make it beyond the city limits. Every automaker is aware of this. GM, in a recent briefing I attended, made a point to mention how it is delivering the âlifted trucksâ that its customers are demanding. The Fathom, from the little weâve seen so far, doesnât scream ârugged.â Then thereâs the EV thing. Most people who buy an EV, myself included, would never buy an internal combustion vehicle again, but a lot of people donât love change. Theyâre content with gas-powered cars and trucks, and many dealers are happy to keep them in one. The Fathomâs success wonât be dictated entirely by the whims of the market, though. Ford can spend on marketing and dealer training to overcome the EV hurdle, and may even convince people that a truck with a frunk is an ideal replacement for a sedan.
